Andreas Neier

COT Trader

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COT-Trader Commodity Dashboard

Commercial Positioning · Calendar Forward Curve Structure · CFTC Legacy Futures Only
Latest CFTC Report
2026-07-28
Latest Forward Curve
2026-07-31
Dashboard Markets
30
Markets with COT
30
Markets with Curve
30
Bullish / Bearish Score
10 / 13
Seasonality Rising / Falling
2 / 6
Generated
2026-08-04 13:01:02

Score Legend

Strong Bullish Bullish Neutral Bearish Strong Bearish

Core Score (-100..+100) combines Positioning (COT 26W/156W, Commercial Δ, Large Spec) and Price Structure (Forward Curve) - calculated the same way for every market. Confirmation (OBV + Open Interest) and Seasonality only scale the number up or down (0.75x-1.25x combined) - they never flip its direction. The Fundamental Overlay (WASDE, Grain Stocks, Crop Phase - shown in each Score cell's tooltip where available) is informational only and is not part of the number above.

Market Research Overview

Click a column header to sort · hover a dotted header for what it means
Symbol Market Score Open Interest Comm Net Comm Δ1W Comm Δ4W COT 26W COT 156W Large Spec Net WASDE Stocks Δ Grain Stocks Δ (YoY) Drought (D2-D4) Drought Δ (YoY) Forward Curve Spread Spread % OBV Seasonality Crop Phase
Grains CBOT 8 Markets
ZC Corn -54 Bearish 1.736.827 -203.931 -64.677 -169.052 39 26 +254.320 -170 (-8.7%) +882,753,000 (+10.8%) 7% +6pp Contango ▲ 23,2500 5,28% Bullish ▼ ● Mixed Harvest
ZW Chicago Wheat -80 Strong Bearish 463.502 +4.459 -7.728 -53.835 10 6 -1.992 -22 (-3.0%) +66,386,000 (+5.4%) 0% +0pp Contango ▲ 18,2500 2,85% Bearish ▲ ● Falling Harvest
KE KC HRW Wheat -87 Strong Bearish 303.684 -16.736 -4.014 -31.053 0 0 +15.958 -22 (-3.0%) +66,386,000 (+5.4%) 14% +8pp Contango ▲ 16,2500 2,30% Bearish ▼ ● Falling Harvest
ZS Soybeans -40 Bearish 1.020.108 -192.207 -39.226 -145.024 8 9 +211.757 +0 (+0.0%) +212,325,000 (+11.1%) 6% +5pp Backwardation ▼ -1,2500 -0,11% Bullish ▲ ● Mixed -
ZM Soybean Meal -40 Bearish 621.646 -144.834 -9.831 -76.296 23 16 +123.705 +0 (+0.0%) n/a - - Contango ▼ 2,7000 0,86% Bearish ▼ ● Mixed -
ZL Soybean Oil -24 Bearish 650.041 -112.422 +12.453 -2.713 49 27 +100.912 +0 (+0.0%) n/a - - Contango ▲ 0,1400 0,21% Bullish ▼ ● Mixed -
ZR Rough Rice -55 Bearish 13.356 -2.810 -64 -1.422 0 37 +708 -0 (-27.9%) n/a - - Contango ▲ 0,4350 3,12% Bullish ▲ ● Mixed Harvest
ZO● Oats -42 Bearish n/a -1.679 +342 -1.560 30 35 n/a +6 (+23.1%) -1,237,000 (-2.9%) - - Contango ▲ 20,0000 6,45% Bearish ▼ ● Mixed Harvest
Softs ICEUS 5 Markets
KC Coffee -51 Bearish 164.447 -28.815 +274 -8.039 3 50 +27.408 n/a n/a - - Contango ▲ 17,4500 5,55% Bearish ▼ ● Mixed Harvest
SB Sugar No. 11 -13 Neutral 1.032.923 +81.203 +20.588 -12.514 15 67 -84.629 +37 (+2.2%) n/a - - Flat 0,0000 0,00% Bearish ▼ ● Mixed Harvest
CC Cocoa +19 Neutral 201.223 +4.461 +2.304 -8.726 10 83 -5.556 n/a n/a - - Backwardation ▲ -139,0000 -2,51% Bullish ▲ ● Rising Harvest
CT Cotton -2 Neutral 323.777 -100.367 +2.311 -16.845 10 9 +93.531 +0 (+10.8%) n/a 8% -2pp Backwardation ▲ -1,2900 -1,58% Bullish ▲ ● Mixed Harvest
OJ Orange Juice +11 Neutral 9.921 -373 +37 +381 100 77 +274 n/a n/a - - Contango ▲ 4,2000 2,71% Bullish ▲ ● Mixed Harvest
Metals COMEX 4 Markets
GC Gold -17 Neutral 384.603 -212.309 +890 +8.761 27 51 +182.070 n/a n/a - - Contango ▼ 13,3000 0,33% Bearish ▼ ● Falling -
SI Silver +33 Bullish 106.719 -38.809 +1.644 +2.516 94 75 +22.217 n/a n/a - - Contango ▼ 0,1950 0,34% Bullish ▲ ● Falling -
HG Copper -9 Neutral 274.552 -76.161 +5.951 -3.067 29 10 +67.281 n/a n/a - - Contango ▼ 0,0295 0,46% Bearish ▼ ● Mixed -
AL● Aluminum -46 Bearish n/a -854 +34 -153 7 n/a n/a n/a n/a - - Contango ▲ 22,5000 0,67% Bullish ▲ ● Mixed -
Metals NYMEX 2 Markets
PL Platinum +39 Bullish 53.658 -16.151 +628 +2.172 100 65 +11.635 n/a n/a - - Contango 3,4000 0,21% Bullish ▲ ● Falling -
PA Palladium +24 Bullish 18.699 +4.414 -287 +791 96 45 -4.767 n/a n/a - - Contango ▼ 5,8000 0,45% Bullish ▲ ● Mixed -
Energy NYMEX 4 Markets
CL Crude Oil WTI +27 Bullish 1.859.795 -158.822 -50.221 -18.674 61 68 +120.108 n/a n/a - - Backwardation ▲ -3,1800 -3,76% Bullish ▲ ● Mixed -
NG Natural Gas -61 Strong Bearish 401.535 -257.259 -2.935 -4.683 0 0 +258.574 n/a n/a - - Contango ▼ 0,0400 1,46% Bearish ▲ ● Rising -
RB RBOB Gasoline +58 Bullish 321.258 -72.779 +26 -8.690 74 39 +62.269 n/a n/a - - Backwardation ▲ -0,2805 -9,01% Bullish ▼ ● Mixed -
HO Heating Oil +29 Bullish 249.594 -33.504 +392 -10.177 45 35 +10.520 n/a n/a - - Backwardation ▲ -0,1377 -3,36% Bullish ▼ ● Mixed -
Livestock CME 3 Markets
LE Live Cattle +68 Strong Bullish 298.449 -37.389 +11.536 +40.118 100 76 +44.323 n/a n/a - - Backwardation ▲ -4,5000 -1,94% Bullish ▲ ● Mixed -
GF Feeder Cattle +39 Bullish 66.369 +2.707 -1.217 +1.024 85 73 -1.007 n/a n/a - - Backwardation ▲ -4,2500 -1,22% Bearish ▲ ● Mixed -
HE Lean Hogs +16 Neutral 268.375 +43.112 -5.380 -17.141 85 87 -42.430 n/a n/a - - Backwardation ▼ -14,0000 -14,16% Bearish ▼ ● Falling -
Forest Products CME 1 Markets
LBR Random Length Lumber -52 Bearish n/a -2.668 -688 -1.773 0 26 n/a n/a n/a - - Contango ▲ 9,5000 1,55% Bearish ▼ ● Mixed -
Rates CBOT 2 Markets
ZB U.S. Treasury Bond +64 Strong Bullish 1.859.732 +115.889 +23.462 +148.252 100 76 -217.497 n/a n/a - - Backwardation ▲ -0,4688 -0,43% Bearish ▼ ● Mixed -
ZN U.S. 10-Year Treasury Note +55 Bullish 5.313.478 +890.267 +149 +100.885 100 86 -876.119 n/a n/a - - Backwardation ▲ -0,2812 -0,26% Bearish ▼ ● Mixed -
Currencies ICEUS 1 Markets
DX U.S. Dollar Index -57 Bearish 58.251 -20.107 -1.760 -3.853 0 2 +17.197 n/a n/a - - Flat 0,0000 0,00% Bearish ● Mixed -
Click a market's symbol to open its detail page (Seasonality, Commercial COT Positioning, Forward Curve and WASDE charts). Market universe and display order are controlled dynamically through core_markets.dashboard_enabled and core_markets.display_order. Missing metrics are displayed as n/a and do not remove the market from the dashboard. Forward-curve calculations use continuous front/next calendar futures contracts. COT 26W is a short-term (6-month) Commercial positioning stochastic; COT 156W is the long-term (3-year) equivalent, both based on the CFTC Legacy Futures Only report. Seasonality compares the Müller seasonal index (5y & 10y windows) today vs. ~15 days ahead; both windows must agree past a small threshold to show Rising/Falling, otherwise it shows Mixed. OBV shows the latest On-Balance-Volume signal and trend. Crop Phase shows whether a market is currently inside a known planting or harvest window (hover for the underlying crop/region); only shown for markets with crop-calendar data. WASDE Stocks Δ is the change in the latest WASDE US Ending Stocks estimate vs. the prior month's report for the same marketing year (hover for the exact figures); more stocks than expected is shown as bearish (red), less as bullish (green); only shown for markets with a WASDE mapping. Grain Stocks Δ (YoY) is the change in the latest USDA quarterly Grain Stocks report vs. the same quarter one year ago (not vs. the prior quarter, which would mostly reflect the harvest calendar rather than real supply change); same green/bullish-red/bearish convention as WASDE Stocks Δ; only shown for Corn, Oats, Soybeans and Wheat. Drought (D2-D4) is the production-weighted share of a market's growing belt currently in severe-to-exceptional drought (USDA NASS state production weights over US Drought Monitor data, hover for the underlying states). Drought Δ (YoY) is the change in that score vs. the same week last year (green = improving, red = worsening - describes the weather fact, not a price direction), hover for the current percentile vs. the full drought history. Both only shown for Corn, Soybeans, Cotton, Wheat SRW and Wheat HRW. A ● next to a symbol means that market's COT report and/or forward curve is older than the dashboard's latest date shown above (hover for details).
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© Andreas Neier COT-Trader 2026
  • Home
  • About Me
  • Commodity Intelligence Hub
  • Knowledge
    • CoT Data
    • Seasonality
    • Stock Holidays
    • Rare Earth Metals
      • Understanding the Rare Earth Supply Chain: From Mine to Magnet
    • My Trading Framework
    • Intramarket Spreads
    • How Is Market Seasonality Calculated?
    • Gold Silver Ratio
  • Market Analysis
    • WASDE & USDA Reports
    • Research & Insights
  • Strategies
    • Seasonal Strategies
    • VWAP Strategy
  • Tools
  • Broker & Execution
  • Contact
  • Datenschutzerklaerung
  • Impress