Andreas Neier

COT Trader

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COT-Trader Framework Insight

Experience Report: A Profitable Week That Still Exposed Weak Risk Management

A green week on paper does not automatically mean good trading. Sometimes the most valuable lessons come from weeks that still finish positive, but reveal major weaknesses in execution, discipline, and profit protection.

One of the most important lessons from my recent trading activity is that a positive weekly result alone says very little about the actual quality of trading.

During the week under review, the account was up by roughly EUR 3,000 intraday at one stage, before a large part of those gains was given back. On paper, the week still ended positive, but the path to that result matters far more than the final number itself.

According to the weekly account statement, the final result for the period was a Closed Trade P/L of EUR 412.29. At the same time, the account absorbed EUR 351.09 in commissions and EUR 217.65 in fees, alongside additional liquidation and stop-out related costs during the week. [oai_citation:1‡annual-tax-report.pdf](sediment://file_00000000fccc72438e2cc84b09d2e820)

The real issue was not one single bad trade. It was a combination of overtrading, aggressive re-entries, expensive counter-trend trades, and the lack of protection for already realised profits.

Why This Week Matters

Many traders focus almost entirely on losing weeks. But in practice, some of the most useful information comes from profitable weeks that still contain serious structural weaknesses.

This was exactly that kind of week.

The statement shows that the account did finish positive, but the weekly result was far less important than the behaviour behind it. The problem was not a total lack of edge. In fact, there were several strong trades and several periods where market direction was read correctly. The larger problem was what happened after profits had already been built.

Once I was clearly in the green, trading became less disciplined. Activity increased, trade quality declined, and some of the most expensive losses came from trying to fade ongoing moves rather than waiting for cleaner opportunities.

Key weekly figures from the statement:

  • Closed Trade P/L: EUR 412.29
  • Total Commissions: EUR -351.09
  • Total Fees: EUR -217.65
  • End of Period Balance: EUR 1,057.30
  • Withdrawal during the week: EUR -500.00
  • Deposit during the week: EUR +500.00

These numbers make one thing clear: friction costs and poor execution matter, even in a week that still closes green.

The Real Weakness: Behaviour During Winning Phases

Many traders assume the dangerous phase is when they start the day in the red. In reality, another situation can be even more dangerous: when a trader is already well in profit and starts to feel pressure to maximise the day.

That is often where discipline starts to slip.

Once a trader is clearly ahead, the temptation to take “just one more trade” grows. A decent day turns into a mission to extract everything the market is willing to offer. But that mindset often leads to the opposite result. Instead of preserving a strong session, the trader starts opening lower-quality positions, taking counter-trend setups, forcing re-entries, and overreacting to short-term price movements.

That was the most important lesson from this week: the biggest weakness was not the entry itself, but the inability to protect profits already earned.

What the Trade Distribution Suggests

Looking through the weekly statement, it becomes obvious that the account was not simply damaged by one isolated loss. The larger issue was repeated exposure, especially in the index products, and particularly in situations where the trade idea turned into a reactive sequence instead of a structured plan.

Some trades worked very well. Others did not just lose; they triggered a pattern of follow-up activity that made the losses significantly more expensive.

Several larger negative trades appeared in the statement in rapid sequence, especially in EPM26 and later also in MESM26 during active intraday phases. The statement also shows multiple stop-out or liquidation related charges, including entries such as liquidation fee and Stop Out Fee, which is a strong warning sign that execution and risk control temporarily broke down. [oai_citation:3‡annual-tax-report.pdf](sediment://file_00000000fccc72438e2cc84b09d2e820)

The conclusion is straightforward: the core issue was not primarily the market idea, but the execution under pressure.

The Cost of Counter-Trend Trading

One of the clearest patterns from the week was that counter-trend trades were disproportionately expensive.

This does not mean counter-trend trading can never work. But it does mean that, in my own discretionary trading, these trades currently need much tighter rules. Trying to fade momentum or step in against an active directional move is one of the fastest ways to turn a profitable day into an unstable one.

The reason is simple: when a counter-trend idea is wrong, it is often wrong quickly. And when that trade is followed by emotional re-entries, the damage compounds fast.

That is exactly why counter-trend trades feel attractive in real time and expensive in hindsight. They often appear to offer “great value” or “a move that has gone too far,” but without strict structure they become a trap for overtrading.

Why Overtrading Is Not Just a Discipline Issue

Overtrading is often described as a psychological problem, but in my view it is also a framework problem.

If a trading process is too discretionary, too reactive, and not clearly defined enough, overtrading becomes much more likely. The trader is forced to make too many decisions under pressure. Every candle starts to look important. Every pullback looks tradable. Every reversal attempt looks like an opportunity.

That is why reducing overtrading is not just about “being more disciplined.” It is about creating a structure that makes bad behaviour harder to execute.

  • Too many trades reduce selectivity
  • Too many re-entries increase emotional exposure
  • Too much activity raises costs through commissions and fees
  • Too many decisions under pressure lead to lower-quality execution
  • Too little profit protection turns good days into average days

What This Means for My Trading Framework

For my own framework, this week leads to a few very clear conclusions.

1. Setups Must Be Defined More Precisely

Discretionary trading should not mean impulse trading. If a setup cannot be described clearly before the trade is taken, it is probably not defined well enough.

2. Counter-Trend Trades Need Higher Standards

These trades should become the exception, not the default reaction to stretched price action.

3. Profit Protection Must Be Built In

Once a strong daily or weekly cushion has been created, it should no longer be fully exposed to impulsive trading decisions.

4. MES Should Remain the Core Focus

If MES is intended to be the main product, that focus should be reflected in execution. Additional products should not become a distraction or a source of unnecessary complexity.

5. Fewer Trades Can Mean Better Trading

The solution is not necessarily more analysis or more setups. The solution may simply be fewer, cleaner trades with clearer conditions.

My Next Area of Focus

The next step is not to add more complexity, but to simplify and sharpen the process.

  • Trade fewer setups, but define them more clearly
  • Reduce low-quality re-entries
  • Treat counter-trend trades with much more caution
  • Build rules that protect realised profits
  • Keep MES as the primary focus market
  • Use the weekly statement not only to review P&L, but to review behaviour

This is where the largest improvement currently lies.

In the end, this week was useful precisely because it was uncomfortable. It exposed a gap between market analysis and execution discipline. That gap is where a large part of trading performance is won or lost.

In the end, this week was a useful reminder: Trading is not only about finding good entries. It is also about protecting what has already been earned.

Source: Personal trading journal and weekly account statement analysis by COT-Trader.com. [oai_citation:4‡annual-tax-report.pdf](sediment://file_00000000fccc72438e2cc84b09d2e820)

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© Andreas Neier COT-Trader 2026
  • Home
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  • Knowledge
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